The Logic Holds

If we can suspend the constitution in its entirety over a 99.999% survivable virus, we can suspend it to expel all the Somalis and the Democrats facilitating their welfare and election scams.

Without question. Furthermore, the Somalis, naturalized or not, have no Constitutional rights as Americans. The Constitution was written to protect the rights of the Posterity of the Founding Fathers of the American Revolution. Regardless of what immigrant judges may have declared over the years, no one else resident in the USA has any claim to any rights protected by the U.S. Constitution.

You can point horse and say cow all you like, but that doesn’t make the horse a cow.

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Giving Them a Chance

It’s always fair play to give your opponent a chance to concede gracefully even if you have no expectation that he will do so whatsoever. That’s why Claude Athos and I submitted one of our papers to a leading science journal today. I can’t say which one, and I can’t say what subject the paper concerned, but certainly their response will be of extreme interest either way.

We shall keep you informed as events proceed.

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More Bass More Better

I’ve posted an excerpt from Sigma Game from my other forthcoming book, HARDCODED. I didn’t intend to write it, but it came about as a direct result of writing PROBABILITY ZERO, then discovering how the various AI systems reacted so bizarrely, and differently, to both the central argument of the book as well as its supporting evidence.

And as with PZ, I inadvertently discovered something of significance when substantiating my original case with the assistance of my tireless scientific colleague, Claude Athos. Namely, many scientific fields are on a path toward having a literature completely filled with non-reproducible garbage, and three of them are already there.

How long does it take for a scientific field to fill with garbage? The question sounds polemical, but it has a precise mathematical answer. Given a field’s publication rate, its replication rate, its correction mechanisms, and—critically—its citation dynamics, we can model the accumulation of unreliable findings over time. The result is not encouraging.

Read the rest of the excerpt at Sigma Game if it’s of interest to you. I think this book is going to be of broader interest, and perhaps even greater long-term significance, than the book I’d intended to write. Which, nevertheless, did play a contributing role.

  • Field: Evolutionary Biology
  • Starting unreliability (1975): ~20%
  • Citation amplification (α): ~12-15 (adaptive “just-so stories” are highly citable)
  • Correction rate (C): ~0.02-0.03 (low; most claims are not directly testable)
  • Years in decay: ~50
  • Current estimated garbage rate: 95-100%

The field that prompted this book is a special case. The decay function analysis above treats unreliability as accumulating gradually through citation dynamics. But evolutionary biology faces a more fundamental problem: the core mechanism is mathematically impossible.

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The Inevitable Arrives

I have always said that feminism is the dumbest, most incoherent, most violent, and most destabilizing ideology in the history of ideology. Now Great Britain is discovering one of the many reasons why:

Britain’s leading abortion charity has been criticised for encouraging ‘sex-selective’ terminations – amid fears these are on the rise among the country’s Indian women. The British Pregnancy Advisory Service (BPAS), which carries out 110,000 terminations a year, suggests that aborting a baby on the basis of sex is not illegal – despite Government advice explicitly stating it is against the law.

Furious campaigners called the advice ‘irresponsible’ and pointed out that many pregnant British-Indian women are under huge pressure to have boys, and may be coerced into having an abortion as soon as a scan reveals a female foetus.

Women of Indian origin are likely to have aborted 400 girls on the basis of their sex in the five years up to 2021, the latest figures reveal.

But Department of Health guidance issued to doctors in 2014 states: ‘Abortion on the grounds of gender alone is illegal. Gender is not itself a lawful ground under the Abortion Act.’

But the BPAS website says: ‘The law is silent on the matter. Reason of foetal sex is not a specified ground for abortion within the Abortion Act, but nor is it specifically prohibited.’ BPAS carries out almost half the abortions in the UK, through drugs it sends by post or surgical procedures at its 55 clinics nationwide.

If women have the right to choose abortion, then they have the right to choose abortion for any reason. The entire concept of the freedom of speech is literally founded upon the undeniable observation of the freedom of thought, which is not a right, but a definitional tautology: one man cannot know what another man thinks.

Human Action was written on the basis of acting man alone knowing the basis for his actions. Or, in this case, her actions.

A society cannot have both a) abortion rights and b) laws against women having abortions for the wrong reasons. Obviously, there is no such thing as a “right” to murder unborn children simply due to the physical location of the child and abortion should be illegal.

But in places where it isn’t, these issues will inevitably arise, as I pointed out nearly 20 years ago. Now, what was once a problem in India is now a problem in the UK thanks to the joys of mass immigration.

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HARDCODED

I’ve completed the initial draft of the companion volume to PROBABILITY ZERO. This one is focused on what I learned about AI in the process, and includes all six papers, the four real ones and the two fake ones, that Claude Athos and I wrote and submitted to Opus 3.0, Opus 4.0, Gemini 3, Gemini 3 Pro, ChatGPT 4, and Deepseek.

It’s called HARDCODED: AI and the End of the Scientific Consensus. There is more about it at AI Central, and a description of what I’m looking for from early readers, if you happen to be interested.

We’ve already seen very positive results from the PZ early readers, in fact, the fourth real paper was written as a direct result of a suggestion from one of them. He is welcome to share his thoughts about it in the comments if he happens to be so inclined.

By the way, his suggestion, and the subsequent paper we wrote in response to it, The Bernoulli Barrier: How Parallel Fixation Violates the Law of Large Numbers, completely nuke the retreat to parallel fixation we first saw JF Gariepy make back in the first MITTENS debate. That retreat was always bogus and nonsensical, of course, as it never had any chance of rescuing TENS, but it worked for enough of the midwit crowd to require carpet-bombing.

This is a microcosm of the difference between Wistar and PROBABILITY ZERO.

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Russia Moves On Odessa

It appears the Special Military Operation is about to enter a new phase, if the recent activity in the region of Odessa means what one would reasonably assume it to mean:

The biggest story the past week has been Russia’s strikes on the Odessa and Nikolayev region. These have targeted both energy grid infrastructure as well as—most surprisingly—the transport and rail infrastructure, in what appears to be an attempt to cut Odessa off from logistics from the west.

Panic in the Odessa region after the attacks on the bridge over the Dniester near the village of Mayaki. The attacks on the bridge and the bridge in Zatoka have been ongoing for 9 days in a row. The south of the region may be cut off from the last functioning ports, through which gasoline is supplied to the central part of Ukraine and the Odessa region. Local entrepreneurs are already offering to transport people to the other side for 10,000 hryvnias. Panic is spreading on both sides of the bridge, with people buying up fuel and food, and long queues at gas stations in Odessa. Other sources report that the “fever” will last for 1-2 weeks, until logistics are reorganized through Moldova and Romania. By that time, pontoon crossings may appear in Mayaki.

As for the swings and roundabouts, these sorts of small advances and retreats such as Simplicius describes at Kupyansk mean absolutely nothing beyond PR for the media. If the media covered the Paul-Joshua fight the same way they cover the NATO-Russian war, they’d be breathlessly announcing that Paul had turned everything around and was about to knock out Joshua every time he got a punch in.

In war, as in boxing, no one goes unscathed. And the only reason the media believes otherwise is that it still thinks that turkey shoots in the desert with air supremacy are the definition of modern war, and nothing could be further from the truth in the Drone Age.

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Maybe They Just Need More Immigrants

The UK is collapsing and contracting economically:

High inflation and low growth will further the decline in UK living standards, pushing the country behind its economic peers, the UK-based Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) has predicted.

The forecast, set out in the CEBR’s annual World Economic League Table released on Friday, projects that the UK will fall from 19th to 22nd in global GDP per capita rankings by 2030, being overtaken by Hong Kong, Finland, and the UAE. British living standards are expected to slip behind those of former colony Malta by 2035.

In dollar terms, UK GDP per capita is forecast at $58,775 for next year.

According to the report, Britain’s GDP per capita growth is set to be the second-weakest in the G7 over the next five years, trailing only Japan.

CEBR economist Pushpin Singh said the UK confronts a “triple challenge” of high inflation, high debt, and low growth. He warned that competitiveness is being eroded by rival nations with lower taxes and lighter regulation, while an “inability to shrink state spending” persists.

Remember when they used to say that immigration was “good for the economy”. Remember that?

They’re not going to be saying it 20 years from now. They’re not going to be saying it 200 years from now.

The lesson is being learned the hard way.

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How AI Killed Scientistry

On the basis of some of the things I learned in the process of writing PROBABILITY ZERO, Claude Athos and I have teamed up to write another paper:

AIQ: Measuring Artificial Intelligence Scientific Discernment

We propose AIQ as a metric for evaluating artificial intelligence systems’ ability to distinguish valid scientific arguments from credentialed nonsense. We tested six AI models using three papers: one with sound methodology and correct mathematics, one with circular reasoning and fabricated data from prestigious institutions, and one parody with obvious tells including fish-pun author names and taxonomic impossibilities. Only one of six models correctly ranked the real work above both fakes. The worst performer exhibited severe anti-calibration, rating fabricated nonsense 9/10 while dismissing sound empirical work as “pseudoscientific” (1/10). Surprisingly, the model that delivered the sharpest critiques of both fake papers was still harsher on the real work—demonstrating that critical thinking ability does not guarantee correct application of scrutiny. We propose that a random number generator would achieve AIQ ~100; models that reliably invert correct rankings score below this baseline. Our results suggest that most current AI systems evaluate scientific aesthetics rather than scientific validity, with profound implications for AI-assisted peer review, research evaluation, and automated scientific discovery.

Read the rest at AI Central. The results are fascinating.

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H1B is Invasion

Immigrants always hire other immigrants. This is why you shouldn’t hire immigrants, and you definitely shouldn’t ever permit immigrant executives. Their first priority is always finding a way to hire more of their own, not the success of the company, much less the society they’re plundering:

FedEx received a significant federal delivery contract worth more than $2 billion in late 2022. The company’s hiring procedures started to drastically change thereafter. According to The Dallas Express, official documents show that FedEx significantly raised the number of foreign workers it hired under the H-1B visa program while concurrently decreasing the number of American positions held in different parts of the US.

In response to the report, FedEx stated that its hiring decisions are based on business requirements and the necessary skills. A spokesperson for the company told The Dallas Express that FedEx is committed to fostering employee development and constructing a workforce aligned with its operational needs.

“Across our business, we employ a wide range of roles, requiring a variety of skillsets and are committed to complying with all applicable federal immigration laws.”

Also Read: H-1B visa row drastically impacts California schools, ‘it’s a form of discrimination to…’

Indian-origin FedEx CEO Rajesh “Raj” Subramaniam is now facing flak on social media for firing American employees in order to bring in foreign workers. The move comes at a time when firms are hesitant to hire H-1B workers due to the hefty $100K charge under current Trump administration.

We’re about 20 years away from the advocacy of mass immigration, and the organizational support for it, being correctly identified and prosecuted as treason. Because that’s exactly what it is; mass cross-cultural immigration is more harmful for a nation than military invasion and occupation.

Japan and Eastern Europe were occupied for generations. They are still observably what they were. Canada, France, the UK, Australia, and the USA? Not so much, and in one-third the time.

Foreign soldiers go home voluntarily. Large-scale migrations don’t.

Just ask the American Indian…

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