KOC Looks Wiser Today

ITEM: 16 23 163 69.6 7.1 3 0 21 4 129.2

ITEM: Daniel Jones fell to the turf in Jacksonville with an apparent Achilles tendon tear in his right leg. The Colts are in a mess because sometime on Monday an MRI is expected to confirm Jones suffered the season-ending injury and needs surgery.

The Vikings are 5-8. The Colts are 8-5. JJ McCarthy will likely be available for the last four games of the season. Daniel Jones will not be. It’s now possible, if not necessarily likely, that the Vikings will finish with a better record than the Colts.

Those of us who have been metaphorically murdering Kwesi and openly wondering if KOC had completely lost both his quarterback-whispering abilities and his marbles must admit that despite all of the travails of this season, their joint decision to roll with Nine instead of Darnold, Jones, and Rodgers might not have been quite as completely insane as it looked last week.

DISCUSS ON SG


The National Security Strategy

It’s far from ideal, but it is a massive improvement upon the destructive path of the entire post-WWII period. (PDF document)

First, a long-overdue condemnation of the foreign-infested elite’s strategy.

American strategies since the end of the Cold War have fallen short—they have been laundry lists of wishes or desired end states; have not clearly defined what we want but instead stated vague platitudes; and have often misjudged what we should want.

After the end of the Cold War, American foreign policy elites convinced themselves that permanent American domination of the entire world was in the best interests of our country. Yet the affairs of other countries are our concern only if their activities directly threaten our interests.

Our elites badly miscalculated America’s willingness to shoulder forever global burdens to which the American people saw no connection to the national interest.

They overestimated America’s ability to fund, simultaneously, a massive welfare-regulatory-administrative state alongside a massive military, diplomatic, intelligence, and foreign aid complex. They placed hugely misguided and destructive bets on globalism and so-called “free trade” that hollowed out the very middle class and industrial base on which American economic and military preeminence depend. They allowed allies and partners to offload the cost of their defense onto the American people, and sometimes to suck us into conflicts and controversies central to their interests but peripheral or irrelevant to our own. And they lashed American policy to a network of international institutions, some of which are driven by outright anti-Americanism and many by a transnationalism that explicitly seeks to dissolve individual state sovereignty. In sum, not only did our elites pursue a fundamentally undesirable and impossible goal, in doing so they undermined the very means necessary to achieve that goal: the character of our nation upon which its power, wealth, and decency were built.

Second, the very first priority listed is to shut down the societally destructive policy of permitting mass immigration. While it falls short of the much-needed policy of mass remigration, it’s clearly pointing in that direction.

The Era of Mass Migration Is Over – Who a country admits into its borders—in what numbers and from where—will inevitably define the future of that nation. Any country that considers itself sovereign has the right and duty to define its future. Throughout history, sovereign nations prohibited uncontrolled migration and granted citizenship only rarely to foreigners, who also had to meet demanding criteria. The West’s experience over the past decades vindicates this enduring wisdom. In countries throughout the world, mass migration has strained domestic resources, increased violence and other crime, weakened social cohesion, distorted labor markets, and undermined national security. The era of mass migration must end. Border security is the primary element of national security. We must protect our country from invasion, not just from unchecked migration but from cross-border threats such as terrorism, drugs, espionage, and human trafficking. A border controlled by the will of the American people as implemented by their government is fundamental to the survival of the United States as a sovereign republic.

And third, the administration still doesn’t comprehend the degree to which China’s military capabilities already dwarf those of the USA from the strategic perspective:

In the long term, maintaining American economic and technological preeminence is the surest way to deter and prevent a large-scale military conflict… We will build a military capable of denying aggression anywhere in the First Island Chain. But the American military cannot, and should not have to, do this alone.

Our allies must step up and spend—and more importantly do—much more for collective defense. America’s diplomatic efforts should focus on pressing our First Island Chain allies and partners to allow the U.S. military greater access to their ports and other facilities, to spend more on their own defense, and most importantly to invest in capabilities aimed at deterring aggression. This will interlink maritime security issues along the First Island Chain while reinforcing U.S. and allies’ capacity to deny any attempt to seize Taiwan or achieve a balance of forces so unfavorable to us as to make defending that island impossible.

There is nothing to maintain. China’s shipbuilding and dronebuilding advantage already exceeds the historical US industrial advantage over Japan. Taiwan and the South China Sea are already gone. So plan accordingly, don’t strategerize about military fantasies.

One hopes this strategic approach will be rather more successful than its predecessor, which in 1992 asserted:

The United States had become the world’s sole remaining superpower following the dissolution of the Soviet Union at the end of the Cold War, and declared that its principal objective was to preserve that status.

I think we can certainly assess the so-called “Wolfowitz doctrine” as having been complete and comprehensive failure by that metric. Which, of course, what always happens when you let opportunistic tacticians make the strategy.

DISCUSS ON SG


Why War in Venezuela

This is a helpful explainer to those of us who are wondering why the USA is threatening the Maduro regime in Venezuela. It’s essentially a combination of a) oil, b) Monroe Doctrine, and c) fallout from US interference in Ukraine.

Venezuela implemented a bunch of utterly catastrophic and self destructive economic policies. Among these was the rational sounding policy of capturing Venezuela’s vast oil wealth which was going abroad, and applying it to the purposes of Venezuelan government.

This resulted in the US issuing a bunch of economic sanctions, similar to those applied to Russia, but vastly less extreme. The damage done by those sanctions was probably insignificant compared to the damage Venezuela did to itself.

The US government then attempted to color revolution Venezuela, but this failed dismally, because Venezuela was run by leftists who were veterans of color revolution, and knew their opponent’s playbook — had in fact been taught the playbook by their opponent’s NGOs.

The Venezuelan politicals took over management of the oil industry in Venezuela, which predictably collapsed. Like the rest of the private economy in Venezuela.

Venezuela then reached out to Russian oil companies, who set about restoring oil production. This was a somewhat Thermidorian policy, since the Russian oil companies understandably insisted on making a profit and refused to have the politicals interfering in management.

This, of course, was violation of the Monroe doctrine, which really pissed off America. Hence war threats from the Trump administration. Their idea of Thermidor was that Venezuela should let US oil companies do what the Russian oil companies are now doing.

Well, said Russia, if you can stick your oar into our boat, we are going to stick our oar into your boat. So Russia sent military advisers and military equipment to Venezuela, and its warships visited Venezuelan waters. Which is a really big violation of the Monroe doctrine, which pissed off America even more.

This is a substantial and significant step towards World War III

The obvious solution is to the US to concede to the Russian 2022 ultimatum “Measures to Ensure the Security of the Russian Federation and Member States of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization” that was addressed to NATO.

America’s rejection of this ultimatum led to disastrous Ukraine war, and is now threatening to lead to a similarly disastrous Venezuelan war.

That makes a lot of sense. Unfortunately, the new strategic document, as good as it is, appears to leave plenty of room for wars with Venezuela and Taiwan in it. I’ll address its more important elements in a post later today, and go over the whole document in tonight’s Darkstream.

DISCUSS ON SG


The End of the College Bowl Game

It appears to be upon us, courtesy of the College Football Playoff committee’s bizarre decision to include Alabama and exclude Notre Dame.

On Sunday, the Fighting Irish were snubbed for the College Football Playoff, as the selection committee opted to put Miami in over them. It was a controversial decision that left many scratching their heads, but the Hurricanes did beat Notre Dame head-to-head earlier in the season.

Soon after being left out of the CFP, Notre Dame announced it would not be participating in a bowl this season.

The statement is below:

As a team, we’ve decided to withdraw our name for consideration for a bowl game following the 2025 season.

We appreciate all the support from our families and fans, and we’re hoping to bring the 12th national title to South Bend in 2026

-The 2025 Notre Dame Football Team.

Rather than have one more game and a month of extra practices, the Irish are essentially taking their ball and going home.

I have no problem with the team and its coaches deciding that playing in the Kraft Bleu Cheese Ranch Bowl or whatever it’s called this year isn’t worth the investment of time required. A 10-2 team that is quite obviously one of the best 12 teams in the country expects to be playing for a national title. It deserves to be playing for a national title.

Some observers have pointed out, quite reasonably, that this is a consequence of Notre Dame’s own decision not to join a conference. And it is, and that’s correct. But there is no duty to play in a lesser game that counts for nothing, and this, too, is a consequence of the committee’s actions.

Alabama got their shot last night. They blew it. Why they should be given another shot, over teams like Notre Dame and Vanderbilt, makes no sense to me. I have no problem with James Madison getting in; they did their part and they won their conference. But why the committee thinks anyone wants to see Alabama go to Oklahoma, again, and presumably lose there, again, is beyond me.

Notre Dame lost two games to teams in the playoffs by a combined 4 points. Alabama lost two games to two teams in the playoffs by a combined 23 points, plus to an unranked team by 14 points. As I said yesterday, Alabama should not have been included.

And now, a feeble attempt to protect the non-tradition of conference championship games, the entire bowl tradition is now in jeopardy. Because Notre Dame will not be the only team to decline a bowl; the Big 12 is already having to strongarm two of its teams with playoff aspirations to get them to participate in the bowls to which they’ll be invited.

I don’t have anything against Alabama. I didn’t even follow college football during the Saban years and I’ve never been an SEC guy. But I don’t like seeing other teams getting only one shot at glory when another gets three.

DISCUSS ON SG


The Count to Zero

An honest review of childhood vaccinations will reduce the US vaccination schedule to zero. But the count to zero has to begin somewhere, and less is observably better than more, so this presidential order is a positive step forward:

In January 2025, the United States recommended vaccinating all children for 18 diseases, including COVID-19, making our country a high outlier in the number of vaccinations recommended for all children. Peer, developed countries recommend fewer childhood vaccinations — Denmark recommends vaccinations for just 10 diseases with serious morbidity or mortality risks; Japan recommends vaccinations for 14 diseases; and Germany recommends vaccinations for 15 diseases. Other current United States childhood vaccine recommendations also depart from policies in the majority of developed countries. Study is warranted to ensure that Americans are receiving the best, scientifically-supported medical advice in the world.

I hereby direct the Secretary of Health and Human Services and the Director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to review best practices from peer, developed countries for core childhood vaccination recommendations — vaccines recommended for all children — and the scientific evidence that informs those best practices, and, if they determine that those best practices are superior to current domestic recommendations, update the United States core childhood vaccine schedule to align with such scientific evidence and best practices from peer, developed countries while preserving access to vaccines currently available to Americans.

The corrupt scientists who are the shock troops of the pharmaceutical industry will fight this tooth and nail, of course. But they will lose, sooner or later, because every single person my age has personally witnessed the increasing amount of harm that the ever-growing number of vaccines given to children have unnecessarily wreaked upon the generations that followed us.

Vaccines are flat-out evil. They are definitely the root cause of “crib death”, SIDS, and autism. I strongly suspect they are also the cause of all the food allergies, gluten problems, and intestinal disorders that have been on the increase over the last few decades. They’re not even remotely necessary and they kill far more children than they save. All of the stories about how they “combat disease” are completely false and have been conclusively proven to be false. They are far more harmful than the diseases they are supposed to prevent.

The optimal way to protect Western societies from infectious disease is to a) invest in sewage and waste disposal systems, b) protect the clean water supply, c) end mass immigration and d) restrict travel from countries that don’t do (a) and (b). That will actually work, because that’s what worked in the early 20th century.

DISCUSS ON SG


Fixing College Football Conference Championships

The conference championship games were always stupid and should obviously be abolished in light of the way they now generate less revenue than the playoff games and create unnecessary complications for the College Football Playoff. Here is the correct way to determine a college football conference championship in these days of large conferences where all the teams can’t play each other every season.

  1. Conference championships are determined by the conference records.
  2. If two or more teams are tied with the same conference record, the team with the better overall record shall prevail.
  3. If two or more teams are tied with the same conference record and overall record, the head-to-head winner shall prevail.
  4. If two or more teams are tied with the same conference record and overall record and they did not play that season, or the result of the head-to-head game was a tie, the team that has gone longer since last winning the conference championship shall be declared the conference champion.
  5. If two or more teams are tied with the same conference record and overall record and they did not play that season, or the result of the head-to-head game was a tie, and one of the teams joined the conference from a different conference since 2020, the “last conference championship” calculation shall be based on its most recent championship in its previous conference.

In other words, if Minnesota and Washington were to finish in a tie for the Big 10 conference championship next year, Minnesota would be crowned the conference champion since its last conference championship was in 1960, while Washington’s last conference championship was in 2023.

That’s fair, reasonable, and most importantly, respectful of tradition and good for the sport. Look at how the entire country is excited about seeing Indiana being in the Big 10 mix for a change instead of Michigan. And look at how much everyone enjoys seeing new teams in the mix instead of the same six teams taking turns winning the national championship.

This will also permit the CFB to guarantee more spots to conference champions, which is desirable. I’d prefer to see 8 being reserved for conference champions, with 8 at-large invites. March Madness proves that everyone likes to see a dark horse or two included.

DISCUSS ON SG


    Alabama Should Be Out

    I’m not militant about the College Football Playoff one way or another, and I’d prefer to see the so-called “conference championship games” dropped from the schedules. But I do have one opinion, and that is Alabama absolutely does not deserve to be in the playoff.

    To lose so comprehensively and finish with -3 rushing yards means you are not a viable contender.

    UPDATE: I did NOT expect Indiana to beat Ohio State after being forced to settle for three FG attempts, and missing one, on their first three trips into scoring territory. And I think that if Ryan Day had coached like the Duke head coach did to upset Virginia for the ACC title, Ohio State would have won. The risk-averse NFL approach is correct on average, but in a big game, you have to coach to win, not to avoid losing.

    DISCUSS ON SG


    It’s the BECAUSE That Gets You

    Stop explaining yourself.

    I can’t stress this enough. If you don’t want to look like a moron on a regular basis, if you don’t want to force others to have to conclude you are stupid, for the love of all that is Good and Beautiful and True, stop explaining yourself, your reasons, your decisions, and your actions.

    Seriously, just stop. Consider the word “because” a period. Stop right there. When you hear yourself saying it, let it be your signal to end the sentence right there.

    First, nobody cares. If they want to know your reasons, they will ask you for them. And be aware that if they are asking for them, there is a very good chance they are looking to argue with you, dispute your position, or at least convince you to change your mind.

    Second, you’re probably wrong, either in your logic or in your assumptions. Perhaps in a small way, perhaps in a big way, or perhaps you’re not even wrong but there is enough ambiguous room for a pedantic person to intentionally object.

    Third, you have a right to your opinion, whatever it might be. You don’t have the right to tell people to accept incorrect facts, incorrect logic, or general incoherency.

    Fourth, when you offer an explanation, you are essentially inviting an argument whether you realize it or not.

    So just speak your mind. Don’t justify your opinion, because if you’re like most people, you can’t do so in a competent manner capable of surviving an intelligent critique. You have your right to your opinion, however insane or stupid or justified it might be, so simply rest content with that.

    Here’s how people know that you’re part of the greater retardery in which we are engulfed. When you explain yourself, and then your explanation is conclusively demonstrated to be substantively false in some way, you do not change your position. This informs your interlocutor that there is nothing inside and there is no point in attempting to engage with you on the dialectical level.

    DISCUSS ON SG


    On the Genji Translations

    The people have spoken. The poll is closed. The decision has been made. But there are certain things that might surprise some of you, so you might want to check out the lengthy post on the Library stack.

    The translations were as follows:

    Translation 1 = Arthur Waley 1933

    Translation 2 = Castalia House 2025

    Translation 3 = Edwin Seidensticker 1973

    Translation 4 = Royall Tyler 2009

    Translation 5 = Dennis Washburn 1999

    Since it would not be professional for me to address some of the comments there, I hope you will indulge me in doing so here. But as I do, I hope you will understand that I very much appreciate both the opinions and the passion of those who disagree with me on these matters, as even in opposition, the mere fact that you care about these things means that we have far more in common than we do with the vast majority of the planet that couldn’t care less either way.

    So by all means, take my contemptuous dismissals as a sign of praise and your own merit.

    I really dislike 2. It feels too modern and maybe not the author’s true voice for the time period. It feels more like her voice in translation 1.

    It is more than modern, it is up-to-date in a myriad of ways. But here’s the thing. None of the translations are representational of the author’s true voice. That voice from the first translation you feel is actually the century-old voice of an Anglo-Jewish man who never spoke Japanese, never visited Japan, and expresses an “Edwardian register” more than 1,300 years removed from the author.

    I strongly suspect that of all these translations, #1 is the most faithful to the original. Vox’s background puts him in in a far better position to judge – and if that is so, I would disregard “vox populi, vox dei” and turn to Translation #1 for Castalia.

    Actually, #1 is by far the least faithful to the original. The liberties that I have taken in the interest of literary quality and psychological fidelity for #2 are far more justifiable than the ex nihilo inventions of Arthur Waley. He even omitted an entire chapter because he didn’t feel it was sufficiently important to the narrative.

    I agree that 2 seems very “modern” and missing something of a soul behind it. By “modern” I mean watered down.

    This is a reasonable response because while the modernity is there in the brief 19 lines compared, none of the psychological elements so important to the novel are. I doubt the commenter would feel that way after reading a comparison of an entire chapter.

    Conventional Gamma posturing and doubling-down.

    See Sigma Game.

    I’m curious to hear which translation you think best preserves the flavor of the original.

    The best literal translation is #4, the Royall Tyler translation. There is no question about that. But being a multilingual individual, I very much disagree with the idea that the literal translation is always the optimal translation. I am optimistic that our translation will best preserve the original flavor in literary, emotional, and psychological terms, but that is a verdict that others will have to render down the road.

    For authentic narration and a closer match in tone to the time period, I would really like to have translation 1. For ease of reading, 2 is an obvious choice but I think the loss of the courtly, observational voice takes too much away from what I imagine the author’s style was. I think this particular tome requires a more traditional translation, given what it is. To go with the easier to read option 2, is a disservice.

    Again, there is nothing authentic about the Waley translation. It is a masterpiece, but the courtly observational tone is his, not the author’s. One of the reasons we are doing the new translation is precisely because the emotional distance, almost diffidence, that Waley portrays is absolutely apposite to the emotional sensitivity of the protagonist, whose sleeves are always wet with the dew of his tears.

    1 sounds like it was written by a woman and has a nice poetic rhythm to it. 5 is similar in that it has a poetic rhythm and sounds like it was written by a woman. This sounds like an odd argument, but the Tales of the Genji was written by a woman, and there are certain stylistic qualities that we all share. 

    Both translations 1 and 5 were written by men. 2, on the other hand, is heavily influenced by the modern Japanese translation written by a woman.

    In any event, I very much appreciate everyone who took part in the poll and expressed their opinion. To be honest, I’m just very pleased that our translation was able to hold its own with the excellent translations of Messrs. Seidensticker, Royall, and Washburn, I did not expect that it would actually be preferred to the traditional masterpiece of Arthur Waley, which was our original selection and only other viable option.

    DISCUSS ON SG


    Civilizational Erasure

    The White House warns the European politicians that their long-term course is suicidal on a grand scale:

    Europe is facing potential “civilizational erasure” as the continent’s policymakers encourage censorship, crack down on political opponents, and turn a blind eye to mass immigration, the new National Security Strategy released by the administration of US President Donald Trump warns.

    The landmark and strongly worded document released on Friday says that while the EU is showing worrying signs of economic decline, its cultural and political unraveling poses an even greater threat.

    The strategy cites EU-backed immigration policies, suppression of political opposition, curbs on speech, collapsing birthrates, and “loss of national identities and self-confidence,” warning that Europe could become “unrecognizable in 20 years or less.”

    One of Washington’s key goals is “cultivating resistance to Europe’s current trajectory within European nations,” the paper adds.

    Trump’s strategy notes that the rise of “patriotic European parties” offers “cause for great optimism,” in a reference to growing bloc-wide support for right-wing Euroskeptic parties calling for strict immigration limits.

    It’s not exactly a mystery what’s happening when on the one hand, they’re encouraging assisted suicide and sexual self-mutilation and sterilization in the public schools and mass immigration on the other. The only thing that is remarkable is how many people are too stupid and short-sighted to admit what has been happening right in front of them for years, if not decades.

    But they’ll fail, sooner or later. They always do. It’s only a question of just how messy the whole thing is going to get before stability is restored. China went through it. Russia went through it. Now it’s the turn of the West to do the same.

    The tragedy is that so many people take civilization for granted despite having no concept on what is necessary to maintain it.

    DISCUSS ON SG